Vietnam’s corporate bond market slowed in the third quarter of 2026, with issuance value falling 26% from the previous quarter, while issuance yields continued to rise across all sectors.
Bond issuance slows
According to a recent report by S&I Ratings, Vietnam’s corporate bond market recorded 153 successful issuances in the third quarter, with a total value of VND179.4 trillion ($6.93 billion), down 26% from the second quarter.
The trend mirrored 2025, when issuance surged in Q2 following a sluggish start to the year before correcting in Q3.
Year-on-year, issuance value in Q3 rose 7.8%, while the cumulative increase for the first nine months reached 6.7%.
Notably, public bond offerings performed strongly, with 16 successful issuances in Q3 worth a combined VND31.6 trillion ($1.22 billion), up 55% year-on-year and the highest level on record.
Commercial banks continued to dominate this channel, accounting for eight of the 16 offerings. Individual issuances were mostly valued at VND1 trillion to VND3 trillion ($115.93 million), while Agribank alone successfully issued VND15 trillion.
In the first nine months, total corporate bond issuance reached VND464.1 trillion ($17.93 billion). During the same period, bonds worth VND132.8 trillion ($5.13 billion) matured, up 5.7%, while early bond buybacks totalled VND228.6 trillion, down 4.5%. Net issuance value was reported at VND102.6 trillion ($8.83 billion).
As of the end of September 2026, outstanding corporate bonds totalled approximately VND1,540 trillion ($59.51 billion), up 7.1% from the end of 2025.
According to S&I Ratings, real estate bond issuance corrected in Q3 after surging in Q2. The number of successful issuances fell from 43 to 21, while total issuance value dropped 55% quarter-on-quarter.
The decline was mainly driven by changes in fundraising activity among major corporate groups. Issuance by the Vingroup group fell to VND16 trillion ($618.3 million) in Q3 from VND61 trillion in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, the Masterise group maintained issuance at VND23.5 trillion ($908.14 million) in Q3.
The ratings agency said the two corporations typically account for as much as 80% of total issuance by the real estate sector, giving their fundraising activity a significant influence on the industry's overall performance.
Despite the sharp quarterly decline, real estate bond issuance in Q3 was still up 27% from a year earlier. For the first nine months as a whole, issuance increased 121% year-on-year.
S&I Ratings noted the real estate market was facing difficulties amid rising interest rates, which were affecting project implementation schedules and companies' financing costs. However, substantial funding requirements for project development would remain a key driver of real estate firms' bond fundraising in the coming period.
In the banking sector, total bond issuance reached VND120 trillion ($4.64 million) in Q3, up 11.8% year-on-year and 7% from Q2. However, cumulative issuance in the first nine months remained 20% below the same period in 2025.
With banks accounting for around two-thirds of total corporate bond issuance, the sector's decline was also a key factor behind the market's slower growth.
Issuance rates approach 2022-2023 peaks
Corporate bond issuance rates continued to rise across all sectors in Q3/2026. Coupon rates had increased by an average of around 250 basis points from their 2025 lows. However, the pace of increase slowed considerably in Q3 as rates approached the peaks recorded in 2022-2023.
For banks, the average issuance rate reached 8.85% per year in Q3, exceeding the 2022 average of 8.7%. However, it remained below the previous peak of 9.7%.
Bank bond coupon rates in Q3 generally ranged from 8% to 9.7% per year. Some issuances carried rates of 10% or higher, including Sacombank bonds with a fixed coupon of 10% and PVcomBank bonds paying a rate linked to the average 12-month savings deposit rate for individual customers plus a margin of 4.6 percentage points, equivalent to around 10.4% at the time of the report.
Meanwhile, issuance rates for real estate companies and firms in other sectors also rose sharply, reaching around 12.5-13% per year. Even so, these rates remained below the peak range of 14-14.5% recorded in 2022-2023.
The trend highlights continued increases in bond fundraising costs as interest rates approach levels last seen during the previous high-rate period.
Maturity pressures to rise in late 2026 and 2027
Maturity pressures in Vietnam's corporate bond market are expected to increase significantly in Q4/2026. S&I Ratings estimates that bonds worth around VND93 trillion ($3.59 billion) will fall due for repayment during the quarter, the highest amount for any quarter this year. Real estate companies account for approximately VND46.9 trillion ($1.81 billion), or nearly half of the market's total maturities.
The pressure is expected to intensify further in 2027. Total corporate bonds maturing next year could reach around VND276 trillion ($10.67 billion), up 22% from 2026. Real estate companies alone are expected to face approximately VND156 trillion ($6.03 billion) in maturities, accounting for 57% of the market total.
Against this backdrop, new bond issuance will serve not only to finance projects but also to play an important role in restructuring existing debt.
Beyond refinancing pressures, the economy's medium- and long-term funding needs are entering a period of strong growth to support real estate developments, urban areas, transport infrastructure, energy and industrial projects. Corporate bonds are therefore expected to remain an important funding channel, providing additional medium- and long-term capital to the economy.
However, the market's ability to absorb new issuance could be affected by domestic and international interest rate movements. Persistent inflation risks, coupled with international government bond yields remaining elevated, could keep interest rates high at least through the first half of 2027.
For bond issuers, this would mean higher financing costs, particularly for companies with high leverage or substantial funding needs.
S&I Ratings said the medium-term outlook for Vietnam's corporate bond market remained positive, supported by strong corporate funding demand and mounting refinancing pressures.
Nevertheless, with interest rates still high, the market would need more time to continue restructuring on a sustainable basis, attract a broader range of investors, and strengthen its role as a key source of medium- and long-term financing for the economy.